activescott's Notes

Public notes from activescott

Sunday, April 12, 2026

Saturday, April 11, 2026

“Tuesday will be Power Plant Day, and Bridge Day, all wrapped up in one, in Iran. There will be nothing like it!!!” posted President Donald Trump on Easter Sunday. In case one thought that was an impulsive utterance, it’s notable that the president in apparently prepared remarks a few days earlier said, “If there is no deal, we are going to hit each and every one of their electric generating plants very hard and probably simultaneously.”

Such rhetorical statements – if followed through – would amount to the most serious war crimes – and thus the president’s statements place servicemembers in a profoundly challenging situation.

Iranian power plants and other critical civilian infrastructure are protected from attacks by the law of war the United States helped craft after World War II. Such an object can lose its protection only if it is used for military purposes by the enemy and its destruction “offers a definite military advantage.” Even then, such an object can be attacked only if, after a case-by-case rigorous analysis, the “concrete and direct military advantage anticipated” outweighs the civilian suffering that is expected to result. (Geneva Convention Additional Protocol I art. 52, art. 57; DOD Law of War Manual, § 5.6, § 5.12).

Despite those well-settled legal parameters, President Trump has repeatedly threatened to obliterate such infrastructure without regard to the law’s high demands. His comments are blatant expressions that he is willing to turn the United States into a rogue State like Iran and Russia, one that rejects the fundamental legal restraints that protect innocent non-combatants like children, and the Iranian civilian population itself.

U.S. military commanders have sworn to obey the Constitution and only those orders from their superiors that are lawful.  Threats to bomb Iran “back to the Stone Ages” and to show “no quarter, no mercy” are plainly illegal.  Trump’s outrageous statements gravely threaten our military professionals’ bedrock moral and legal principles, ones enshrined in the law of war that they’ve been trained to follow their entire careers.

the DOD Law of War Manual’s note on targeting civilian infrastructure states: “Diminishing the morale of the civilian population and their support for the war effort does not provide a definite military advantage. However, attacks that are otherwise lawful are not rendered unlawful if they happen to result in diminished civilian morale.”  DOD Law of War Manual, § 5.6.  Such “morale bombing” has been rejected for many decades; it had gained support during World War II only to be roundly rejected by Additional Protocol I to the Geneva Conventions and customary international law.  The idea of using civilian pain in order to effectuate political goals would rightly stoke criticisms that the United States’s use of military force against civilian targets equates to acts of sheer terrorism. (See Additional Protocol I art. 51(2) (“Acts or threats of violence the primary purpose of which is to spread terror among the civilian population are prohibited.”) (emphasis added); DOD Law of War Manual, § 5.2.2 (“Measures of intimidation or terrorism against the civilian population are prohibited, including acts or threats of violence, the primary purpose of which is to spread terror among the civilian population.”) (emphasis added).

“We were cautiously optimistic on inflation heading into this year,” as price pressures like those from tariffs were unwinding, said Thomas Ryan, a North America economist at Capital Economics.

“Basically, we’re on hold now, just to see what happens with the energy price shock,” Ryan said. “If it’s long-lasting, we become more concerned about leakage” into other areas of consumers’ wallets, he said.

Friday, April 10, 2026

If you use Signal, you actually have an advantage here, now that you know about this vulnerability. Signal has a setting that blocks the content of messages from appearing in their notifications. That way, even if someone accesses your alerts, all they'll see is you received a Signal message—not who sent it or what it contains.

To turn it on, open Signal, tap your profile in the top-left corner, then hit "Settings." Under Notification Content, choose "No Name or Content" to block all data to the alert. You can compromise here and choose "Name Only" if you want to know who a message is from before you open it—just remember, an intruder may also see you received a message from that person if they scrape your iPhone's notifications.

Thursday, April 9, 2026

There has not been a military draft since 1973, when U.S. involvement in the war in Vietnam was winding down.

But in 1980, President Jimmy Carter signed a law requiring men between the ages of 18 to 25 to register for military conscription. Since then, the federal government has relied on voluntary compliance with that law, not automatic enrollment. Men who are 26 are allowed to enroll late to comply with the law.

The agency’s proposal to automatically enroll men in the draft was submitted to the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs on March 30.

The proposal was made about a month after the U.S. and Israel began a war against Iran.

There are currently no formal plans to reinstate a draft.

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The Palestinian village of Nu'man is unique within East Jerusalem. While it lies within the city's municipal borders on the map, the vast majority of its residents haven't been granted permanent Israeli residency the way other Palestinians in East Jerusalem have. Instead, Israel considers them West Bank residents. Consequently, in Israel's view, they are illegally present in Israel when they are in their own homes.

The residents' situation has gotten even worse since the separation fence was built and a new road was paved that links the settlements east of Jerusalem to the capital. The road and the fence hemmed the village in, forcing its schoolchildren to leave the Israeli schools they attended in East Jerusalem for schools in the West Bank town of Beit Sahur.

Two weeks ago, a group of Jewish teens showed up. Some of them said they were from Har Homa, a neighborhood of East Jerusalem near the hill that separates Nu'man from the neighborhood of Umm Tuba. Others apparently came from West Bank settlement outposts.

The teens set up a large tent a few dozen meters from Nu'man's houses and cleared new paths. On the tent, they spray-painted the word "revenge" and the name of their outpost – Homat Yehuda.

On Sunday, the Palestinians said, the teens attacked a group of village residents who approached the outpost. Using clubs, stones and tear gas, they wounded four of the Palestinians, who needed medical treatment. The Palestinians responded by throwing stones as well.

Israeli activists who were present in Nu'man called the police repeatedly, but officers finally showed up only after the violence had died down. When they did, the officers arrested three Nu'man residents. Then they came back again that evening and arrested a fourth. They also went up to the outpost, and an Israeli activist who was present said they promised to see to its evacuation.

The police said one of the offenses they suspected the three of committing was being present in Israel illegally – though officially, as noted, Israel made their presence in their own homes illegal when it included them within East Jerusalem without granting them residency rights.

Umm Tuba residents, all of whom have permanent residency in Israel, have been pasturing their sheep for years in the wadi below the hill. But since the outpost was established, they said, the shepherds have suffered threats and violence from the Jewish residents.

On Monday, when the shepherds arrived at the wadi with their sheep, a large number of police officers showed up and told them to leave. One even threatened Umm Tuba's mukhtar, Aziz Abu Tir, and cursed him with expletives, residents said. "We've been neighbors of Har Homa for 30 years now, and there were never any problems," said Sameh Abu Tir, an Umm Tuba resident. "On the contrary, our children would go down and tend the sheep. But now, every time we get near, they threaten us." The mukhtar, Aziz Abu Tir, added: "It's the government's policy to pressure us. It's pure racism."

The Pew survey released on Tuesday reported that overall, 60% said they have an unfavorable view of Israel. In 2022, only 42% of Americans held negative views of Israel.  There was a sharp divide between Democrats and Republicans. 41% of Republicans have an unfavorable view of Israel; that number is double with Democrats. There was also a large split between younger and older Americans. 70% of Americans under 50 had an unfavorable view of Israel, including 57% of Republicans.

On Tuesday, Trump announced a new ceasefire with Iran. Within hours, Israel violated the ceasefire with a massive round of strikes on Lebanon.

The Palestinian Journalists Syndicate said after Wishah’s death that the IDF has killed 260 Palestinian journalists and wounded 550 since October 7, 2023. According to the Committee to Protect Journalists, 129 members of the press were killed around the world in 2025, and the state of Israel was responsible for two-thirds of the deaths. The IDF has a unit that is dedicated to justifying the killing of journalists by attempting to link them to Hamas, and the IDF has previously accused Wishah of being a Hamas fighter, an allegation denied by Al Jazeera.

Israel has been constantly violating the so-called ceasefire deal it signed back in October, killing at least 736 Palestinians and wounding 2,035, according to the latest numbers from Gaza’s Health Ministry.

US officials were aware that a statement from Pakistan Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif on the US-Iran ceasefire that was issued on Tuesday included a truce in Lebanon as part of the deal, according to media reports. The New York Times reported that the US had already seen and signed off on Sharif’s statement before he posted it

A diplomatic source familiar with the negotiations leading up to the ceasefire announcement told ITV News that Iranian and Pakistani officials ended the talks with the understanding that the US was aware that the truce also applied to Lebanon, contradicting claims from Trump and Vice President JD Vance that it did not.

Israel not only continued its attacks on Lebanon, but it also dramatically escalated the bombardment, launching a new military operation dubbed “Operation Eternal Darkness” and killing hundreds of people across the country. According to NBC News, Trump asked Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to scale down the attack, but heavy Israeli strikes continued on Thursday.

Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi affirmed in a statement on Wednesday that the ceasefire must include Lebanon or the deal will be off. “The Iran-US Ceasefire terms are clear and explicit: the US must choose—ceasefire or continued war via Israel. It cannot have both,” Araghchi wrote on X. “The world sees the massacres in Lebanon. The ball is in the US court, and the world is watching whether it will act on its commitments.”

The two-week pause in the fighting was announced by Pakistan's Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif - who has been serving as mediator between the warring parties. Sharif said the US and its allies "have agreed to an immediate ceasefire everywhere including Lebanon and elsewhere".

The guns were supposed to have fallen silent. It was, after all, just hours after US President Donald Trump had announced that a two-week ceasefire had been agreed to halt the war in the Middle East. But just as the region was breathing a sigh of relief, Israeli jets conducted a 10-minute blitz across Lebanon - a massive aerial attack that killed at least 303 people and wounded 1,150 others, according to Lebanon's health ministry. Local and Western condemnation was swift and widespread, but no criticism came from the US against its ally in this war. Iran said this was "a blatant violation" of the ceasefire deal and has asked the US to halt the Israeli "aggression".

In Lebanon, opponents and supporters of Hezbollah are coming together in anger, united in the view that what happened here was unacceptable and unjustifiable.

This last bit may be Israel’s goal:

Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian denounced the "blatant violations" by Israel, which, he added may render negotiations "meaningless".

Wednesday, April 8, 2026

Mr. Musk is requiring banks, law firms, auditors and other advisers working on the I.P.O. to buy subscriptions to Grok, his artificial intelligence chatbot, which is part of SpaceX, according to four people with knowledge of the matter, who were not authorized to speak publicly about confidential discussions. Some of the banks have agreed to spend tens of millions on the chatbot, and they have already started integrating Grok into their I.T. systems, three of the people said.

Mr. Musk’s ability to secure business from the banks for his A.I. chatbot also shows the enormous sway of the world’s richest man over a banking sector clamoring for his business now and into the future.

Mr. Musk has marketed Grok as the antidote to political correctness and said his chatbot would not be “woke,” unlike its competitors. In recent months, Grok has been mired in controversy after sharing antisemitic content and praise of Adolf Hitler as well as generating nonconsensual sexualized images of women and girls. Some countries, including Indonesia and Malaysia, have banned Grok, while others have opened investigations into its spread of sexualized material.

Mr. Musk insisted that they purchase the chatbot services. He has also asked the banks to advertise on X, his social media site, which is also owned by SpaceX, but was less adamant about that request, according to two of those people.

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Career-Ops turns any AI coding CLI into a full job search command center. Instead of manually tracking applications in a spreadsheet, you get an AI-powered pipeline that:

Evaluates offers with a structured A-F scoring system (10 weighted dimensions)
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Scans portals automatically (Greenhouse, Ashby, Lever, company pages)
Processes in batch -- evaluate 10+ offers in parallel with sub-agents
Tracks everything in a single source of truth with integrity checks

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Career-ops is agentic: Claude Code navigates career pages with Playwright, evaluates fit by reasoning about your CV vs the job description (not keyword matching), and adapts your resume per listing.

Heads up: the first evaluations won't be great. The system doesn't know you yet. Feed it context -- your CV, your career story, your proof points, your preferences, what you're good at, what you want to avoid. The more you nurture it, the better it gets. Think of it as onboarding a new recruiter: the first week they need to learn about you, then they become invaluable.

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